A new parliamentary seat projection by Global Info Analytics suggests that the National Democratic Congress (NDC) would secure a comfortable majority in Parliament if a general election were held today.
The projection, based on the Multilevel Regression and Poststratification (MRP) model, forecasts the NDC winning 153 parliamentary seats, while the New Patriotic Party (NPP) is projected to secure 97 seats.
According to the poll, 26 constituencies remain unallocated, with two seats classified as tied and 24 seats falling into the “not disclosed” category, where respondents declined to reveal their voting preferences.
The projection covers all 276 parliamentary seats and shows the NDC holding a significant advantage in several regions, including Greater Accra, Volta, Western, Savannah and Upper East.
The NPP is projected to maintain its dominance in the Ashanti Region, where it is forecast to win 35 of the region’s 47 parliamentary seats, compared to eight for the NDC. Four constituencies in the region remain unallocated due to undisclosed voter preferences.
In the Eastern Region, the poll indicates a highly competitive race, with both the NPP and NDC projected to win 14 seats each, while one constituency is tied and four remain undecided.
The NDC is projected to sweep all 18 parliamentary seats in the Volta Region, while also securing majorities in Greater Accra, Central, Western and Northern regions.
The survey further projects the NDC to win 26 of the 34 seats in Greater Accra, leaving the NPP with eight seats.
Political analysts say the 26 unallocated seats could prove decisive in determining the final balance of power in Parliament, particularly if voter preferences shift closer to the 2028 polls.
Global Info Analytics noted that the projection is hypothetical and reflects current voter sentiment captured through the MRP methodology rather than a prediction of the final election outcome.
The findings nonetheless provide an early indication of the evolving political landscape ahead of the next parliamentary elections, with both major political parties expected to intensify efforts in competitive and undecided constituencies.